According to the report, cultural and demographic shifts in key constituencies will cost the Conservatives 28 seats by 2031, given their dire support among the BAME community.
THE Tories must “urgently” win more black and ethnic minority (BAME) voters or face being out of power for a generation, a new report claims.
A think tank today revealed cultural and demographic shifts in key constituencies will cost the Conservatives 28 seats by 2031 given their dire support among the BAME community.
Just 24 per cent of BAME voters believe the Conservatives are on their side – compared with 52 per cent for Labour.
And Onward claims that when the population in a constituency becomes ‘30 per cent BAME’- the Conservatives lose.
Theresa May currently has a working majority of 13 – purely because of the support of the Ulster unionists in the DUP.
Onward chief Will Tanner, a former No.10 policy expert, said: “Britain is increasingly a melting pot of different ethnicities and cultures.
“And the Conservative Party simply must do more to keep up.
“If it does not change minority perceptions of the party quickly, seats once thought of as strongholds will become unwinnable.
“And a parliamentary majority will be even more difficult to achieve.”
Onward said the problems facing the Tories among ethnic minorities were as great as among 18-24 year-olds.
They claim that while many BAME voters consider voting Conservative, the conversion rate was poor because of a “lack of engagement” at a local level.
Last year, independent think-tank British Future said Theresa May would have won a 42-seat election majority had she doubled her non-white support.
Just 21 per cent of BAME voters backed the Conservatives on June 8.
Winning 40 per cent would have meant an extra 600,000 voters in key seats – handing the PM a 42 seat majority, British Future said.
The group added that Britain’s growing diversity means the penalty will get higher at each election for parties that don’t reach out to non-white voters.
Written By: Steve Hawkes
First Publushed 16.07.18: https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/6786589/conservative-party-bame-voters/